Review of Pricing Class 1

Let me begin with a summary of the assigned textbook readings, following which I shall talk about maximizing profit calculations.

Chapter 1- Strategic pricing
Pricing strategically is critical to success given the correct market conditions for a new product or for an existing product. The traditional methods of price setting- using cost basis as key determinant, or customer-driven, or market-share – can no longer sustain profits or capture all of the value a firm creates. The pricing pyramid is introduced in this chapter- value creation, price structure, price & value communication, pricing policy and price level. Differences between search goods and experience goods are explained, benefits to customer that include psychological and monetary are discussed.

Chapter 6- Price Level
Despite the tools and analytics available to marketers, price setting comes down to using informed judgement to find a price that balances costs, customer value, and competitor responses. Process involves setting the initial price point within a predetermined price window. Three considerations for an initial price point is alignment with overall business strategy, price-volume trade-offs and customer response. The last one is the most challenging one to determine since there are many non-value related factors that can affect the degree to which price influences a customer’s purchase decision.

Pricing objectives must be identified before hand. The three options for setting prices are skimming the market including sequential skimming, penetration pricing and neutral market pricing. For skimming to work the firm needs a differentiated product or some other competitive edge. Sequential skimming is appropriate for products with low repurchase rates. Penetration pricing involves setting a price low enough to capture substantial market share and is perceived as a high-value purchase by the customer. For this to work the customers should have low switching costs between different firms and competitors should not easily be able to lower their prices as well. However, if penetration pricing is used improperly it can diminish brand value- the price-quality effect. Minimizing the role of pricing in place of using other marketing tools is the core of the neutral pricing strategy. Neutral prices are defined relative to the perceived value of a product. Sony, to my surprise, uses a neutral pricing policy even though its prices are above competitors products because of higher perceived value.

Profit maximizing calculations
profit = unit contribution margin * demand = (price – marginal cost) * demand

Figuring out total cost to the customer is important because it can be a high or low bar for setting your price.

Total cost to customer = acquisition costs (price, paperwork, cost of mistakes in order, etc) + possession costs (holding inventory, quality control, taxes and insurance, etc) + usage costs (field defects, training costs, user labor cost, disposal costs, etc)

Key learnings in class

1. It is easier to calculate value of product or service for industrial products. Very helpful for pricing decisions

2. Calculating value demands intimate understanding of customer economics, should identify value and total cost to customer, consider reality and expectations to get to WTP

3. Look beyond your average customer, and identify segments with different economics to extract full WTP

4. Product value will change over time due to impact of market forces, industry structure, customer experience and competition

5. Align price level with business strategy.

6. Simple cost plus pricing is ridiculous.

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Pricing class begins next saturday..

Getting ready for class this week and next. I have two cases to prepare and two chapters to read from the textbook, ‘The Strategy and Tactics of Pricing: A Guide to Growing More Profitably’, by Thomas Nagle. I’ll post a review of this text at some point.

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Strategy Final

After finishing up the macro final, I decided to head home to take the Strategy final from the comfort of my home, in the presence of Mr. Porter and some other competitive strategy research papers. I know you are not supposed to use outside knowledge in these finals (course policy) but it helps me when doing strategy. 15 minutes into the drive, I had a flat tire! Roadside assistance took about an hour to arrive, and by the time I was patched up, there was no time left to take the 45 minute trip home. So I decided to step into the local Starbucks, that mercifully had a fast and free WiFi, and waited for the professor to upload our case.

Hello Zara!

The case was on Zara’s emergence in the apparel and accessories market, over and above GAP and H&M. After reading through the 6 page case, I set about answering the 4 questions from Prof. Rui de Figueiredo : 1) Provide a brief overview of the determinants of industry profitability as suggested by a Five Forces Analysis, 2) Characterize Zara’s competitive position and some of the distinct choices that the firm is making. Examine the extent to which these choices are mutually reinforcing of the firm’s competitive position, or possibly working in conflict with one another, 3)  Assess the sustainability of Zara’s apparent competitive advantage, and 4) Zara has chosen to engage in a high degree of vertical integration. Explain the rationale for this and consider whether this full ownership approach is superior to alternative governance mechanisms. We had 3 hours 30 minutes to write a response to these questions. I spent about 45 minutes reading the case, 35 minutes on question 1, 60 minutes on question 2, 30 minutes on question 3 and 33 minutes on question 4. I uploaded the completed exam into bspace at 5:58pm with 2 minutes to spare.

The first question was relatively easy and in hindsight, I feel I should have saved some time on it. I drew up the Five Forces table, and came to the conclusion that the industry has high barriers to entry, moderate rate of substitution, moderate buyer power, low supplier power and highly intense rivalry. Gasp. I added some data from the case to support my conclusions (thankfully). I spent an awful amount of time on the second question but really enjoyed answering it. I drew up Zara’s competitive position as having dual advantage compared to competitors that varied from the industry average, successfully differentiated and one that is successful low-cost. The advantage stems from low cost inputs into the production cycle, using local coops without contractual obligations for stitching, using subsidiaries for making dye purchases, to being differentiated at the product level, with unique and locally customized apparel, limited production runs and data gathering models used in stores. I was left with an hour to answer the remaining two questions, and proceeded to draw up the data I had from the case in a tabular format to help me model the response. Finally, on to question 4! I did not have much gas left in the tank at this point, so it was a strained effort at best, but I managed to put up a decent picture of the advantages of vertical integration.

I was exhausted at this point, and the small table-hard chair combo at Starbucks, was a reminder to the unlucky turn my day had taken. But I was thankful for having finished both my exams on the same day. Wow, what a feeling: First year is over!

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Macroeconomics Final

Well, what a day!

We had macro finals at Haas today. The Anderson Hall was packed with Oski and Axe cohorts- I was a few minutes late (thanks to the early morning revision!) but found a good seating spot. 10 multiple choice (mc) questions worth 3 points each followed by 2 complex analytical questions each asking to assess several exogenous shocks to the economy and plotting the impacts on the AD-AS and foreign exchange demand/supply curves, worth 35 points each! Happy answering!

Macro started out relatively easy. There was an mc question on nominal exchange rate movements and another on fiscal policy regulation (think tax cuts or government spending). Things got interesting when questions started to appear on overvalued exchange rates and exchange rate pegging. Yes, this paper focused heavily on fiscal policy, financial crises and the foreign exchange market. It was expected since the midterm had covered the AD-AS model, IS, MP curves and business cycles. Then came the analytical questions that brought the rain!

The first analytical question asked us to plot the general equilibrium conditions in Germany and France before France pegged its currency on the German mark. Using the AD-AS model for each country, we plotted AD and AS movement in Germany with an appreciating mark, and its impact on the French economy. In the next part we were told that France decided to fix its currency to the German mark, and without any exogenous shock to the economy, what would be the impact to the aggregate demand and supply. The second analytical question asked us to model using foreign exchange demand and supply, an overvalued Thai baht pegged to the US dollar at an overvalued rate of 20 baht to 1 dollar in 1974, and asked to assess impact without any exogenous shocks for two years in a  row. Needless to say, it almost came to the point of flipping a coin to decided which way the curve shifted! Almost, that is.

 

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Rates of inflation

It turns out that other things being constant, domestic inflation will cause the value of a nation’s currency to depreciate in the foreign exchange market! Holy hell, it will. Deflation has the opposite effect: it results in appreciation of the currency. Don’t ask me why exactly, but what follows here is a reasonably sound explanation of the phenomenon. With macroeconomics exams approaching, it is only timely my mind has wandered into this murky area!

For the inspired, only when the exchange rates are free to fluctuate is when we can expect currency to appreciate or depreciate. If you are thinking about countries that ‘peg’ exchange rate to a fixed value, then there are other policy steps that need to be taken to avoid a financial crisis resulting from falling foreign currency reserves available to the country. Enough said, lets move back to the basics.

For the initiated, suppose prices in the US rise by 50% while our trading partners are experiencing stable prices. The domestic inflation will cause US consumers to increase their demand for imported goods (think cheap!) and consequently, foreign currency will flow into the US. Tit-for-tat, foreign consumers will stop buying US goods, now that these are overpriced! This will cause a reduction in the supply of foreign currency to the exchange market. If consumers don’t buy US goods with their currency, then it does not enter the ‘exchange’ marketplace. C’mon! With falling supply of foreign currency, and rising demand for it, what do you think is going to happen?

There is going to be a need for the US to ‘buy’ the foreign currency to prevent excessive depletion of its international reserves (as economists like to call them), thus flooding the marketplace with US currency. As more and more US currency is needed to buy a shrinking supply of foreign currency, the US dollar will start to depreciate ‘in exchange for’ the foreign currency. It will take more and more of the $ to buy the Euro, etc.

Hopefully this brief post made sense for those trying to make sense of how exchange rates are impacted by domestic inflationary fluctuations.

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The San Antonio Plant Closure

Setting: January 1990

Levi Strauss’s San Antonio plant, which manufactures sports coats, is on the road to closure after leadership decided to shift its strategy to focus exclusively on the Original 501 and Dockers brands. This plant that has been operational since the 1920s employs 1150 workers who are all now on the path to being laid off, for good, many with  skills that would be hard to transition to a new job.

David Vogel, in his paper, ‘The Limits of the Market for Virtue’, said that corporate social responsibility is intended to ameliorate specific problems such as employee welfare, fair wages and pricing, and conservation of the natural wealth of our planet. In the event of a plant closure, a corporate leader should take appropriate steps to soften the impact on the employees and work hard to preserve its reputation and relationships with the community it is exiting. This is in keeping with Levi Strauss’ stated core values of empathy, originality, integrity and courage. Levi Strauss should use an augmented decision process to arrive at an outcome that guarantees suitable redress to those being laid off such as providing a severance package that helps with loss of wages, provides career transition and welfare monitoring services, etc.

In their paper, ‘A New Era for Business’, Beardsley, Bonini, Mendonca and Oppenheim, have argued that corporations have a social contact with the communities in which they operate. The fates of the community and the corporation are intertwined: when the corporation is commercially successful the communities it operates in reap benefits of healthy employment and economic progress, but when the corporate decides to leave, the community suffers with lasting socio-economic impact. However, in the modern business setting, in times of crisis the community expects corporations to adhere to a high standard of morality and respect the social contract. This conflicts directly with the primary motive of a profit-making corporation which is to maximize returns for stakeholders. Levi Strauss must decide how to manage this conflict: close the plant for business effectiveness but also do well by its employees to effectively deliver on its social responsibilities.

The solution to managing the social contract effectively might lie in augmenting the decision process using the Five-R’s framework proposed by Beardsley, et. all. In this paper I will attempt to show that thinking in terms of Risk, Renewal, Regulation, Relationships and Reputation helps a leader arrive at the ethically optimal and socially responsible choice when faced with making a decision that will impact the lives of workers and their families.

Risk: In deciding the fate of the San Antonio plant, Levi Strauss is taking a significant risk of alienating the community. If the plant were to close, 1150 workers would lose their livelihood. There is already significant risk of bad publicity from moving operations over to Costa Rica. Add the layoffs of 1150 workers to that and Levi Strauss is in trouble unless sufficiently grand measures are taken to help the soon to be jobless workforce. Sufficient thought needs to go into designing the severance package to ensure that lost wages for several months are accounted for, health care costs are subsidized and that placement services are provided sufficiently into the future. These actions will have the dual advantage of keeping the news media reasonably happy and will also help workers transition to new jobs, or safely enter retirement.

Renewal: This is an opportunity for Levi Strauss to demonstrate strength of character and commitment to core values of empathy, originality, integrity and courage. With the impending plant closure there will be social discontent and a media campaign. It is worth the extra effort and cost for Levi Strauss to stand behind their commitment to employees and upon plant closure, give extraordinary benefits such as continuation of health insurance and generous seniority-based pay. Such a step would show that Levi Strauss cares about its employees. When Merck decided to produce and distribute ivermectin for free to help millions of suffering patients in Africa, it made a commitment to humanity and came through on its founding principle, “We try never to forget that medicine is for the people. It is not for profits. The profits follow, and if we have remembered that they never fail to appear. The better we have remembered, the larger they have been.” It built a reputation that others, in time, will strive to follow for the greater common good of humanity.

Regulation: Levi Strauss should shape short- and long-term policy agendas to reflect societal expectations. One way to do this is to appoint a committee of outreach members that would work with the San Antonio City to monitor the welfare of the workers until they have secured new jobs, or alternatively, have settled into permanent retirement. This group would also be responsible for setting policy and implementing corporate social responsibility mandates in other manufacturing and assembly locations as well.

Relationships: Closure of the San Antonio plant closure is bound to severe some relationships, such as those with suppliers to the plant and those with local businesses that were necessary earlier but will become redundant now. Since distributors and suppliers form a value chain and are strategic non-depreciating assets for Levi Strauss, it should consider preserving these relationships in some form or shape to continue having a voice in the community on social, economic and business issues in future.

Reputation: This is perhaps the most important lever and should be used with utmost care in deciding the exit strategy. After almost seventy years, a mutually beneficial relationship with two generations of employees at San Antonio will be coming to an end. It is therefore imperative for Levi Strauss to remember that relationships are just as important as profit motives for sustainable business. The company must inspire trust by providing complete transparency in the plant closure process and announce the impending outcome in a manner perceived by the affected workforce as fair. It is better to lay out the business situation as openly as is permissible, than to hide the facts from a community that has come to trust Levi Strauss.

Finally, achieving an amicable exit from San Antonio does not preclude Levi Strauss from uncovering an opportunity to create lasting value with the San Antonio residential and business community. As Porter and Kramer note in their article, ‘Creating Shared Value’, shared value is the practice of doing business in a way that benefits both the business as well as the community in both measurable and intangible, immeasurable ways.

Levi Strauss can extend its value chain by making San Antonio a part of its core business strategy. It does not have to be a zero-sum game where the San Antonio plant workers lose everything with the exit. Levi Strauss can spawn an entrepreneurial incubator in the community by leveraging its seven-decade old relationship with the city putting to good use its supplier and distributor network for budding entrepreneurs. By another creative strategy Levi Strauss can setup a health and housing initiative for the San Antonio residents to signal its continuing commitment to its former employees and their extended families. It can provide substantial subsidies to health organizations who wish to partner in the effort extending the value chain even more, and deeply discount care for former employees for a few years, further strengthening ties with the community. Such and other creative efforts will signal to the world that Levi Strauss continues to stand behind its core values of empathy, originality, integrity and courage despite the fundamental shift in its apparel business strategy.

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Philosophers Part 1

Plato

Socratic paradox: No one is willingly bad and that people do wrong because they have not the knowledge to do right, which is virtue.

Counter argument to Socratic paradox: Every man believes that injustice is much more profitable to himself than justice.

Mill’s utilitarianism

  1.  Actions are right in proportion to how much happiness they create and wrong in proportion to how much misery they bring about
  2.  Self-sacrifice is the highest virtue if it brings about the happiness of others.
  3. Only an act done from duty has moral worth
    1. To be beneficent  is a duty but it has no true moral worth unless the act is performed without any inclination at all, but solely from duty
    2. To secure one’s own happiness is a duty if there is no inclination involved and therefore has true moral worth
    3. The moral worth of an act is not based on the consequences of the act
    4. The moral worth of an act comes from the agent’s respect for the Law
      1. Duty is the necessity of an action done out of respect for the law

Kant’s Teachings

Hypothetical imperative: An act is good for some purpose, either possible or actual

Categorical imperative: Act as if the maxim (rule of personal conduct) of your action were to become through your will, a universal law of nature.

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Customer Value Proposition- Wiley Publishing

Current Customer Value Proposition. Target Customer: Community colleges

Segment characteristics

– Dominant needs: Student Success, Faculty Development and Support
– Academic focus: general education
– Established online program
– Existing Wiley usage (textbooks, WileyPLUS, and WFN)
– Centralized decision making
– Community College

Best Competitor: Pearson

Key customer benefits Current level of performance Current cost to customer

Current sustainability

Compared to the strongest competitor, customers perceive ours to be: Compared to the strongest competitor, customers perceive our pricing to be: Time before leading competitor catches up (days to years)
We help the CAOs better manage and improve the academic quality and student success rates of the institution Worse, by 10% Higher, by 10%
We help community colleges achieve their stated goals of faculty development retention Better, by 50% Lower, by 50% 2 years
We help keep costs per student down by providing creative institutional offerings Worse, by 10% Higher, by 10%

Wiley do not have good coverage, they only cover a portion of the curriculum and thus cost/student (volume discount) is high.

Zone of Competitive Tolerance

This is the range in customer expectations for supplier value-added. The boundaries for the customer are described here.

How do community colleges value Wiley offerings?

Wiley Custom Select does not have the adoption that Wiley would like, but offers an innovative solution to creating customized courses. WFN, WCS and WileyPLUS is relevant and unique for our segment. Benefits/Price = CV is very high. Career progression with MS certification.

What is the minimum adequate level of performance expected from any supplier in order to receive community college continuing business?

Community colleges are not big on the technology performance, but are highly cost conscious.

What is the best imaginable expected performance?

Higher-education publishers continued to grapple with price resistance to textbooks and competition from the used-book market.

  1. Community colleges expect efficiencies from Vendors and expect higher student success rates along with higher faculty retention.
  2. Student community within the course by leveraging the WFN platform to achieve “peer-learning”
  3. Flexible learning and course management platform that helps achieve time savings and cost efficiencies

Is Wiley the best imaginable supplier, or close to it?

Wiley is not the best imaginable supplier due to the difficulties in lowering costs. This results from a weaker market penetration in the digital book sales (only $US7M, less than 2% of overall sales in fiscal 2010).

Is Wiley’s leading competitor, Pearson, the best imaginable supplier, or close to it?

Pearson is NOT the best imaginable supplier because their faculty development and retention index is lower than Wiley’s.

What are the 2 pareto relationships in this customer’s “best imaginable” expectations?

Community colleges don’t necessarily have the resources to give unprepared students the attention they need to be successful. There’s not enough time for the instructor to spend with students who are not prepared- Wiley can provide value here by empowering these students to better manage their course loads. 80% of customer satisfaction will result in improving student grades by enabling students to self-tutor and link the progress back to classroom instruction

What 2-3 things would be quick, easy and cheap to do?

  1. Meeting with the CAOs of community colleges and sharing information with their peers
  2. Provide easy access to e-textbooks

Of the remainder, what 2-3 things would drive most of this customer’s commitment?

  1. Enabling students to self-tutor by creating  affordable homework solutions
  2. Student network

Future Value Creation Opportunities

Minimum Adequate Best imaginable
PRODUCT: Homework solution that offers course learning aids Self-tutoring solution that enables students to rapidly improve learning
SUPPORT SERVICES: None Student course-helpline that provides customized help that is relevant to the student’s progress in the course.
RELATIONSHIP MGMT:
IMAGE/REPUTATION: Wiley is another choice the college can offer its faculty and students. Wiley is the trusted go-to partner for Community colleges
(What 3 words would be associated with Wiley?) “Fair pricing”, “good value” “fair pricing”, “superior value-added”, “innovative”

Strategic Value Positioning

Here, we plot the existing and target positions for Wiley, for each customer benefit. Our positions on both axes are relative to Pearson (our leading competitor) on the same benefits. We assume that each key customer benefit is targeted towards a specific customer group.

What total cost Wiley would charge for each benefit?

Pricing will need to be competitive for community colleges since this customer is highly price conscious.

How can Wiley achieve a strategic value positioning?

Wiley can create superior value positioning by providing the following responses to the 3 key questions of strategic value proposition:

What is Wiley’s unfair advantage in the community college segment?

  1. No competitor can match Wiley’s product or service in the short term IF Wiley provides cost savings, and improved student grades in the near term (measurable).
  2. No competitor can match Wiley if faculty development and retention results are superior over a period of time

Why choose Wiley today?

  1. Wiley’s offering is differentiated, relevant to value drivers and certified as industry’s best performing.
  2. Wiley can offer immediate cost savings over competitors and improved ROI in the near term.

Why choose Wiley tomorrow?

  1. Wiley’s value today forms the basis for customer loyalty tomorrow
  2. Wiley will continue to INNOVATE, PARTNER with customers and INVEST in products that meet the most important value drivers for community colleges- student grades, faculty development and retention, career progression
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